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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Molde

T T U S T

1–3

Full-time

Sandefjord

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 43%

38%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

58%

74%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

57%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,77 xG 1,43

60% Possession 40%

22 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 11. · Sandefjord 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	25	17	5	3	+28	+22.9	56
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	17	4	3	+44	+38.7	55
3	Brann	24	15	4	5	+12	+19.4	49
4	Tromso	25	14	3	8	+7	+4.2	45
5	Rosenborg	24	9	8	7	+0	+4.7	35
6	Sandefjord	23	11	1	11	+6	-5.2	34
7	Valerenga	24	10	4	10	-1	-7.5	34
8	KFUM Oslo	24	8	9	7	+8	+7.8	33
9	Fredrikstad	24	8	8	8	+2	-2.2	32
10	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	8	9	-1	+10.2	32
11	Molde	24	9	3	12	+2	+2.6	30
12	Kristiansund	24	8	6	10	-17	-16.4	30
13	Ham-Kam	24	6	7	11	-10	-12.1	25
14	Bryne	25	6	7	12	-11	-4.6	25
15	Stromsgodset	24	6	2	16	-19	-22.4	20
16	Haugesund	25	1	3	21	-50	-40.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	12	9	2	1	+17	+14.7	29
2	Brann	12	9	2	1	+11	+13.0	29
3	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	1	2	+26	+23.9	28
4	Sandefjord	12	9	0	3	+16	+1.5	27
5	Tromso	13	8	1	4	+6	+5.5	25
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.3	22
7	Valerenga	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
8	Rosenborg	11	5	5	1	+9	+9.9	20
9	KFUM Oslo	12	5	4	3	+8	+4.8	19
10	Molde	12	6	1	5	+6	+9.2	19
11	Bryne	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.9	19
12	Kristiansund	12	4	4	4	-2	-6.2	16
13	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-3	-4.5	15
14	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	4	5	-2	+3.4	13
15	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-11	-8.5	10
16	Haugesund	12	1	2	9	-23	-10.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+18	+14.7	27
2	Viking	13	8	3	2	+11	+8.1	27
3	Tromso	12	6	2	4	+1	-1.3	20
4	Brann	12	6	2	4	+1	+6.4	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	4	4	+1	+6.8	19
6	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-9	-5.1	15
7	KFUM Oslo	12	3	5	4	+0	+3.0	14
8	Kristiansund	12	4	2	6	-15	-10.2	14
9	Valerenga	12	4	1	7	-8	-7.7	13
10	Molde	12	3	2	7	-4	-6.6	11
11	Fredrikstad	11	2	4	5	-5	-3.5	10
12	Ham-Kam	12	2	4	6	-7	-7.7	10
13	Stromsgodset	12	3	1	8	-8	-13.9	10
14	Sandefjord	11	2	1	8	-10	-6.8	7
15	Bryne	12	1	3	8	-10	-8.5	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	1	12	-27	-29.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.