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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla
Elche
U S U S T
0–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,08 xG 0,25
69% Possession 31%
15 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 8. · Ath Bilbao 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 9 7 1 1 +14 +9.0 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 +10 +8.2 21
3 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 +6 +2.2 17
4 Ath Madrid 9 4 4 1 +6 +6.3 16
5 Betis 9 4 4 1 +5 +3.7 16
6 Espanol 9 4 3 2 +2 +6.4 15
7 Sevilla 9 4 1 4 +2 -6.2 13
8 Elche 8 3 4 1 +2 -0.6 13
9 Ath Bilbao 8 4 1 3 +0 +5.8 13
10 Alaves 8 3 2 3 +1 +1.3 11
11 Getafe 8 3 2 3 -2 -1.6 11
12 Osasuna 9 3 1 5 -2 -2.8 10
13 Levante 8 2 2 4 -1 -0.3 8
14 Vallecano 8 2 2 4 -2 +0.7 8
15 Mallorca 9 2 2 5 -4 -8.2 8
16 Valencia 8 2 2 4 -4 -2.1 8
17 Celta 8 0 6 2 -3 +0.2 6
18 Oviedo 9 2 0 7 -12 -10.5 6
19 Girona 9 1 3 5 -13 -9.3 6
20 Sociedad 8 1 2 5 -5 -2.3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Ath Bilbao
28′
ℹ️ Daniel Vivian
VAR: Card reviewed
Víctor Chust 🟨
29′
Germán Valera 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Williams
↦ G. Guruzeta
46′
🔁 N. Williams
↦ R. Navarro
58′
🔁 U. Gomez
↦ O. Sancet
61′
🟨 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
A. Pedrosa 🔁
↦ L. Petrot
62′
68′
🔁 A. Rego
↦ I. Ruiz de Galarreta
R. Mendoza 🔁
↦ M. Aguado
75′
81′
🔁 A. Paredes
↦ A. Laporte
83′
🟨 Mikel Jauregizar
Josan 🔁
↦ G. Valera
89′
J. Donald 🔁
↦ A. Nunez
89′
94′
🟨 Daniel Vivian
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-3-3
13 I. Pena G
15 A. Nunez D
23 V. Chust D
6 P. Bigas D
21 L. Petrot D
16 M. Neto M
8 M. Aguado M
14 A. Febas M
10 R. Mir F
9 Andre Silva F
11 G. Valera F
Bench (12)
1 M. Dituro
45 A. Iturbe
3 A. Pedrosa
4 B. Diaby
5 F. Redondo Solari
17 Josan
20 A. Rodriguez
30 R. Mendoza
32 A. Boayar
35 A. Houary
18 J. Donald
31 D. Delgado

Coach: Eder Sarabia Armesto

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 U. Simon G
12 J. Areso D
3 D. Vivian D
14 A. Laporte D
17 Y. Berchiche D
18 M. Jauregizar M
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta M
7 A. Berenguer M
8 O. Sancet M
23 R. Navarro M
11 G. Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
27 A. Padilla
2 A. Gorosabel
4 A. Paredes
6 M. Vesga
9 I. Williams
10 N. Williams
15 I. Lekue
19 A. Boiro
20 U. Gomez
21 M. Sannadi
25 Izeta
30 A. Rego

Coach: Ernesto Valverde Tejedor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,58
U ✓
3,20
B
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.