La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Elche
Ath Bilbao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +14 | +9.0 | 22 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | +8.2 | 21 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | +2.2 | 17 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | +6.3 | 16 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | +3.7 | 16 |
| 6 |
Espanol
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | +6.4 | 15 |
| 7 |
Sevilla
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | -6.2 | 13 |
| 8 |
Elche
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | -0.6 | 13 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +0 | +5.8 | 13 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | +1.3 | 11 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.6 | 11 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -2.8 | 10 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -0.3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Vallecano
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +0.7 | 8 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | -8.2 | 8 |
| 16 |
Valencia
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -2.1 | 8 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | +0.2 | 6 |
| 18 |
Oviedo
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | -10.5 | 6 |
| 19 |
Girona
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | -9.3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Sociedad
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | -2.3 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Pena
G
A. Nunez
D
V. Chust
D
P. Bigas
D
L. Petrot
D
M. Neto
M
M. Aguado
M
A. Febas
M
R. Mir
F
Andre Silva
F
G. Valera
F
Coach: Eder Sarabia Armesto
U. Simon
G
J. Areso
D
A. Laporte
D
Y. Berchiche
D
M. Jauregizar
M
I. Ruiz de Galarreta
M
A. Berenguer
M
O. Sancet
M
R. Navarro
M
G. Guruzeta
F
Coach: Ernesto Valverde Tejedor
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Alaves
Elche
Elche
Celta
Osasuna
Elche
Elche
Oviedo
Sevilla
Elche
Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla · 12 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.