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Referee: J Vergoote

Dender

U U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

0,3

0,0

Conceded

1,7

5,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-5,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,33 xG 1,39

59% Possession 41%

4 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Truiden	4	3	1	0	+5	+5.4	10
2	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.5	9
3	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.9	9
4	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+8	+7.9	8
5	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.5	6
6	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
7	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.9	4
8	RAAL La Louviere	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.5	4
9	Waregem	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.2	4
10	Standard	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.0	4
11	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.4	3
12	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
13	Dender	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
2	St Truiden	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
4	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
5	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
6	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.0	3
7	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
8	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
9	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Standard	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
11	Waregem	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
12	Dender	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.8	4
3	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.9	4
4	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
5	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	Waregem	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
7	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
8	St. Gilloise	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.5	2
9	Dender	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.8	1
10	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.6	0
12	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.