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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Marc Philip Eckermann
Darmstadt
T S S S U
0–0
Full-time
Magdeburg
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
63%
13%
Points per game
2,1
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,8
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 5. · Magdeburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 9 7 0 2 +8 +0.8 21
2 Paderborn 9 6 2 1 +7 +2.8 20
3 Elversberg 8 6 1 1 +10 -2.9 19
4 Kaiserslautern 9 6 0 3 +7 -0.2 18
5 Darmstadt 8 5 2 1 +8 +0.9 17
6 Hannover 9 5 2 2 +2 +2.5 17
7 Karlsruhe 9 4 3 2 +1 +0.3 15
8 Hertha 9 3 2 4 +1 -1.9 11
9 Preußen Münster 9 3 2 4 -2 -2.5 11
10 Bielefeld 9 3 1 5 +1 +1.7 10
11 Holstein Kiel 8 3 1 4 +1 +0.1 10
12 Greuther Furth 8 3 1 4 -3 -0.2 10
13 Braunschweig 9 3 1 5 -6 -1.1 10
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 3 1 5 -8 -3.5 10
15 Dresden 9 1 4 4 -4 +1.8 7
16 Nurnberg 8 2 1 5 -5 +0.1 7
17 Bochum 9 2 0 7 -6 +1.8 6
18 Magdeburg 8 1 0 7 -12 -0.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Magdeburg
20′
🟨 Falko Michel
Sergio López 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ L. Ulrich
M. Papela 🔁
↦ M. Richter
73′
74′
🔁 C. Krempicki
↦ F. Michel
74′
🔁 M. Breunig
↦ A. Holmstrom
Sergio López 🟨
82′
Sergio López 🟥
82′
M. Bader 🔁
↦ K. Corredor
85′
B. Bialek 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
85′
92′
🔁 S. Loric
↦ A. Nollenberger
92′
🔁 N. Pesch
↦ P. Hercher
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Darmstadt

3-5-2
1 M. Schuhen G
6 P. Pfeiffer D
20 A. Vukotic D
5 M. Maglica D
2 S. Lopez M
23 M. Richter M
16 H. Akiyama M
34 K. Corredor M
8 L. Marseiler M
7 I. Lidberg F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
3 L. Klassen
10 J. Boetius
19 F. Lakenmacher
21 M. Papela
26 M. Bader
27 B. Bialek
32 F. Holland
44 Y. Furukawa

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Magdeburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Muller D
19 L. Musonda M
21 F. Michel M
8 L. Ulrich M
17 A. Nollenberger M
27 P. Hercher F
23 B. Atik F
11 A. Holmstrom F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
2 S. Loric
15 D. Heber
28 M. Geschwill
10 N. Pesch
13 C. Krempicki
25 S. Gnaka
29 R. Ghrieb
9 M. Breunig

Coach: Markus Fiedler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,80
B
3,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.