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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Levante
U S T U S
0–3
Full-time
Vallecano
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,91 xG 1,55
54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 13. · Vallecano 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 9 7 1 1 +14 +9.0 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 +10 +8.2 21
3 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 +6 +2.2 17
4 Ath Madrid 9 4 4 1 +6 +6.3 16
5 Betis 9 4 4 1 +5 +3.7 16
6 Espanol 9 4 3 2 +2 +6.4 15
7 Elche 9 3 5 1 +2 +0.2 14
8 Ath Bilbao 9 4 2 3 +0 +5.0 14
9 Sevilla 9 4 1 4 +2 -6.2 13
10 Alaves 8 3 2 3 +1 +1.3 11
11 Getafe 8 3 2 3 -2 -1.6 11
12 Osasuna 9 3 1 5 -2 -2.8 10
13 Levante 8 2 2 4 -1 -0.3 8
14 Vallecano 8 2 2 4 -2 +0.7 8
15 Mallorca 9 2 2 5 -4 -8.2 8
16 Valencia 8 2 2 4 -4 -2.1 8
17 Celta 9 0 7 2 -3 -0.4 7
18 Sociedad 9 1 3 5 -5 -1.7 6
19 Oviedo 9 2 0 7 -12 -10.5 6
20 Girona 9 1 3 5 -13 -9.3 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Vallecano
12′
J. de Frutos 0–1
U. Lopez
Carlos Álvarez ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
15′
25′
J. de Frutos 0–2
Half-time 0–2
63′
🔁 I. Palazon
↦ Alemao
63′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ U. Lopez
65′
A. Garcia 0–3
P. Chavarria
J. A. Olasagasti 🔁
↦ U. Vencedor
74′
P. Martinez 🔁
↦ C. Alvarez
74′
G. Koyalipou 🔁
↦ Etta Eyong
74′
C. Espi 🔁
↦ R. Brugue
74′
74′
🔁 Pacha
↦ F. Perez
75′
🔁 P. Ciss
↦ J. de Frutos
J. Morales 🔁
↦ M. Moreno
82′
82′
🔁 G. Gumbau
↦ N. Mendy
94′
🟨 Isi Palazón
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 M. Ryan G
22 J. Toljan D
2 M. Moreno D
4 Dela D
23 M. Sanchez D
24 C. Alvarez M
12 U. Vencedor M
16 K. Arriaga M
7 R. Brugue M
21 Etta Eyong F
9 I. Romero F
Bench (12)
1 P. Cunat
5 U. Elgezabal
6 D. Varela Pampin
8 J. A. Olasagasti
10 P. Martinez
11 J. Morales
14 J. Cabello
15 G. Koyalipou
17 V. Garcia
18 I. Losada
19 C. Espi
20 O. Rey

Coach: Julián Calero Fernández

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
32 N. Mendy D
3 P. Chavarria D
17 U. Lopez M
23 O. Valentin M
19 J. de Frutos M
4 P. Diaz M
21 F. Perez M
9 Alemao F
Bench (12)
1 D. Cardenas
40 A. Molina
6 P. Ciss
7 I. Palazon
8 O. Trejo
11 R. Nteka
15 G. Gumbau
18 A. Garcia
20 I. Balliu
22 Pacha
28 S. Becerra
33 J. Vertrouwd

Coach: Iñigo Pérez Soto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
U
3,33
B ✓
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Sesma Espinosa · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.