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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

Arouca

S S T U T

2–2

Full-time

Guimaraes

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 12

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 12. · Guimaraes 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Sp Braga	6	5	1	0	+16	16
3	Porto	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Portimonense	7	5	0	2	+2	15
5	Boavista	7	5	0	2	+0	15
6	Estoril	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Casa Pia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Sp Lisbon	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Guimaraes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Gil Vicente	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Chaves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Arouca	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Vizela	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Santa Clara	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Famalicao	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-10	1
18	Maritimo	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+0	9
5	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Sp Lisbon	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Vizela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Porto	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Chaves	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.