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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Nacional
T T U T T
3–3
Full-time
Boavista
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nacional Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Apr -19 Boavista – Nacional 1–0 9. Dec -18 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 6. May -17 Boavista – Nacional 2–2 22. Dec -16 Nacional – Boavista 0–2 6. Mar -16 Boavista – Nacional 0–1

Match report

Nacional Boavista
Julio Cesar 🟨
-5′
14′
🔁 J. Benguche
↦ Y. Njie
19′
⚽ Gustavo 0–1
J. Benguche
22′
🟨 Nuno Santos
Kalindi 🟨
26′
1–1 B. Riascos ⚽
28′
2–1 João Victor ⚽
B. Riascos
36′
Half-time 2–1
Rúben Freitas 🔁
↦ Kalindi
46′
47′
⚽ Ricardo Mangas 2–2
A. Gomes
Ruben Freitas 🟨
55′
60′
⚽ Gustavo 2–3
A. Gomes
65′
🟨 Angel Gomes
V. Thill 🔁
↦ João Victor
68′
L. Azouni 🔁
↦ V. Koziello
72′
B. Róchez 🔁
↦ Rúben Micael
81′
81′
🔁 Miguel Reisinho
↦ A. Gomes
Vincent Thill 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Show
↦ Gustavo
Bryan Rochez 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
3–3 João Camacho ⚽
Rúben Freitas
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Nacional

4-2-3-1
13 Daniel G
22 Kalindi D
3 Lucas Kal D
4 Pedrão D
14 Rúben Micael M
10 V. Koziello M
77 João Victor M
94 B. Riascos F
7 João Camacho M
23 Witi D
55 Nuno Borges
Bench (9)
27 Rúben Freitas
45 V. Thill
5 L. Azouni
35 B. Róchez
12 G. Bobál
1 R. Piscitelli
6 A. Alhassan
44 Júlio César
80 M. Rouai

Coach: Carlos Simões

Boavista

4-2-3-1
20 Léo Jardim G
19 Ricardo Mangas D
5 C. Awaziem D
2 R. Cannon D
4 J. Gómez D
6 Javi García M
7 Nuno Santos M
10 A. Gomes M
30 Paulinho M
8 Gustavo M
11 Y. Njie F
Bench (9)
9 J. Benguche
16 Miguel Reisinho
23 Show
73 Tiago Morais
1 Rafael Bracali
25 Y. Hamache
42 C. Castro
22 Nathan
39 Kalani Almeida

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
🔒
U ✓
3,01
🔒
B
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,54
🔒
U2,5
1,50
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.