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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Guimaraes
S T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Belenenses
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Guimaraes Belenenses
44′
🟨 Henrique
Half-time 0–1
47′
T. Phete 0–1
Rúben Lima
51′
🟨 Caue
58′
🟨 Miguel Cardoso
Ricardo Quaresma 🔁
↦ M. Edwards
62′
N. Holm 🔁
↦ L. Foster
62′
62′
🔁 Bruno Ramires
↦ Cauê
André André 🟨
65′
67′
🔁 Afonso Sousa
↦ Silvestre Varela
D. Poha 🔁
↦ Pepelu
69′
75′
🟨 Afonso Taira
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
1 Bruno Varela G
26 J. Carls D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
17 F. Sacko D
6 A. Mumin D
11 André André M
19 Pepelu M
98 N. Janvier M
16 Rochinha F
7 M. Edwards F
21 L. Foster F
Bench (9)
10 Ricardo Quaresma
86 N. Holm
8 D. Poha
77 E. Abouchabaka
18 Kim Jung-Min
28 Sílvio
5 E. Suliman
29 M. Trmal
70 André Almeida

Coach: Tiago

Belenenses

3-4-3
1 André Moreira G
26 Henrique D
5 Rúben Lima M
4 Tomás Ribeiro D
8 Cauê M
20 Afonso Taira M
11 Miguel Cardoso F
13 Tiago Esgaio M
21 T. Phete D
10 Silvestre Varela F
9 M. Cassierra F
Bench (9)
6 Bruno Ramires
28 Afonso Sousa
2 Diogo Calila
17 Robinho
19 Francisco Teixeira
14 Danny Henriques
16 Samir Banjai
24 Guilherme Oliveira
7 Edi Semedo

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,48
U
4,20
B ✓
6,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.