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Primeira Liga
Referee: Jorge de Sousa
Tondela
S T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Maritimo
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tondela 11. · Maritimo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 26 21 4 1 +54 67
2 Benfica 26 20 5 1 +53 65
3 Sp Lisbon 26 19 5 2 +34 62
4 Sp Braga 26 19 1 6 +35 58
5 Rio Ave 26 12 4 10 +0 40
6 Chaves 26 10 6 10 -7 36
7 Boavista 26 11 3 12 -7 36
8 Maritimo 26 10 6 10 -12 36
9 Portimonense 27 8 7 12 -7 31
10 Guimaraes 26 9 3 14 -15 30
11 Tondela 26 8 5 13 -8 29
12 Belenenses 26 7 8 11 -12 29
13 Aves 26 6 7 13 -10 25
14 Vitoria Setubal 27 5 10 12 -19 25
15 Pacos Ferreira 26 6 6 14 -19 24
16 Feirense 26 7 2 17 -12 23
17 Moreirense 26 5 7 14 -18 22
18 Estoril 26 6 3 17 -30 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tondela Maritimo
1–0 Miguel Cardoso
10′
41′
Joel 1–1
Jean Cleber
Half-time 1–1
David Bruno 🟨
51′
53′
Joel 1–2
Hélder Tavares 🟨
57′
J. Delgado 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
57′
Eli 🔁
↦ Pedro Nuno
58′
Joca 🔁
↦ Hélder Tavares
75′
79′
🔁 G. Ghazaryan
↦ J. Correa
86′
🔁 E. Şen
↦ Rodrigo Pinho
88′
🔁 Diney
↦ Valente
90′
🟨 Pablo Santos
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tondela

4-2-3-1
1 Cláudio Ramos G
20 Ricardo Costa D
22 David Bruno D
23 Joãozinho D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
27 Bruno Monteiro M
8 Hélder Tavares M
10 Pedro Nuno M
19 Tómané F
9 T. Boyd M
11 Miguel Cardoso M
Bench (7)
15 J. Delgado
99 Eli
17 Joca
12 Ricardo Janota
7 Claude Gonçalves
2 F. Moufi
32 Icaro

Coach: Pepa

Maritimo

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
23 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
17 Rúben Ferreira D
4 Pablo D
8 J. Correa M
15 Jean Cleber M
20 Fabricio Baiano M
33 Valente M
95 Joel F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
10 G. Ghazaryan
6 E. Şen
24 Diney
21 Gamboa
94 Charles
45 Fábio China
93 Everton

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jorge de Sousa · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.