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Premier League

Referee: J Gillett

Arsenal

T U S S S

5–0

Full-time

Leeds

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,88 xG 0,17

68% Possession 32%

18 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 2

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 7. · Leeds 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.9	6
2	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.9	4
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
4	Man City	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.4	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Sunderland	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.0	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
9	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
10	Burnley	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
11	Brentford	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
12	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
13	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
14	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
16	Aston Villa	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
17	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
18	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
19	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.7	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
8	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
9	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
12	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Man City	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
14	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0
15	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
6	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
9	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
11	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
12	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
13	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
15	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.