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Serie A
Referee: Luca Zufferli
Roma
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Bologna
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,56 xG 0,58
51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Jan -25 Bologna – Roma 2–2 10. Nov -24 Roma – Bologna 2–3 22. Apr -24 Roma – Bologna 1–3 17. Dec -23 Bologna – Roma 2–0 14. May -23 Bologna – Roma 0–0

Match report

Roma Bologna
19′
🟨 Remo Freuler
30′
🔁 S. Castro
↦ C. Immobile
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Vitik
↦ N. Casale
1–0 Wesley Franca ⚽
53′
N. El Aynaoui 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
61′
Gianluca Mancini 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 N. Zortea
↦ L. De Silvestri
72′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ J. Odgaard
A. Dovbyk 🔁
↦ E. Ferguson
74′
P. Dybala 🔁
↦ M. Soule
74′
80′
🔁 F. Bernardeschi
↦ R. Freuler
D. Rensch 🔁
↦ Angelino
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
22 M. Hermoso D
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
43 Wesley Franca M
4 B. Cristante M
17 M. Kone M
3 Angelino M
18 M. Soule F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
11 E. Ferguson F
Bench (9)
32 D. S. Vasquez Llach
91 R. Zelezny
2 D. Rensch
87 D. Ghilardi
8 N. El Aynaoui
61 N. Pisilli
9 A. Dovbyk
21 P. Dybala
35 T. Baldanzi

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 L. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
16 N. Casale D
26 J. Lucumi D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
8 R. Freuler M
4 T. Pobega M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 J. Odgaard M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (15)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
3 S. Posch
14 T. Heggem
20 N. Zortea
32 T. Corazza
41 M. Vitik
6 N. Moro
10 F. Bernardeschi
19 L. Ferguson
23 J. Karlsson
80 G. Fabbian
9 S. Castro
24 T. Dallinga
30 B. Dominguez

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B
3,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,11
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luca Zufferli · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.