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2. Bundesliga
Referee: E Weisbach
Paderborn
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 7. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bielefeld 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.7 6
2 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.9 6
3 Hannover 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.5 6
4 Braunschweig 2 2 0 0 +2 -1.1 6
5 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 +0 -2.9 6
6 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.3 4
7 Paderborn 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.8 4
8 Preußen Münster 3 1 1 1 +0 -2.5 4
9 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
10 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
11 Magdeburg 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
12 Bochum 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.8 3
13 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.2 3
14 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.9 1
15 Dresden 2 0 0 2 -2 +1.8 0
16 Holstein Kiel 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.1 0
17 Nurnberg 3 0 0 3 -3 +0.1 0
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 0 0 2 -6 -3.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Fortuna Dusseldorf
Tjark Lasse Scheller ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
11′
Tjark Lasse Scheller 🟥
12′
31′
🟨 Sotiris Alexandropoulos
34′
🟨 Cédric Itten
35′
C. Itten 0–1
V. Lunddal
Santiago Castaneda 🟨
38′
42′
F. Muslija 0–2
S. Appelkamp
Half-time 0–2
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ S. Castaneda
46′
46′
🔁 M. Heyer
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
Luis Engelns 🟨
57′
N. Batzner 🔁
↦ L. Engelns
60′
S. Marino 🔁
↦ A. Grimaldi
74′
75′
🔁 C. Lenz
↦ K. Schmidt
75′
🔁 C. Rasmussen
↦ T. Rossmann
L. Copado 🔁
↦ M. Baur
80′
S. Michel 🔁
↦ F. Bilbija
80′
1–2 N. Batzner
S. Marino
84′
92′
🔁 G. Haag
↦ S. Appelkamp
94′
🔁 J. Hettwer
↦ F. Muslija
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
41 D. Seimen G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
25 T. Scheller D
4 C. Brackelmann D
17 L. Curda M
6 L. Engelns M
5 S. Castaneda M
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija F
14 M. Baur F
39 A. Grimaldi F
Bench (9)
1 M. Schubert
32 K. Yalcin
26 S. Klaas
22 M. Hansen
9 N. Batzner
30 S. Marino
28 L. Copado
18 M. Worner
11 S. Michel

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
12 V. Lunddal D
44 E. Egouli
15 T. Oberdorf D
4 K. Schmidt D
8 A. El Azzouzi M
14 S. Alexandropoulos M
23 S. Appelkamp M
24 F. Muslija M
21 T. Rossmann M
13 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lotka
3 C. Lenz
5 M. Heyer
6 G. Haag
10 C. Rasmussen
11 J. Hettwer
22 D. Schmidt
25 M. Zimmermann
30 J. de Wijs

Coach: Markus Anfang

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,77
B ✓
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Weisbach · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.