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Ligue 2
Referee: G Angoula
Boulogne
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
4 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nancy 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Troyes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Clermont 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 St Etienne 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Red Star 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Amiens 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Reims 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Le Mans 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Montpellier 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Annecy 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Laval 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Dunkerque 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Rodez 3 0 2 1 -4 2
15 Bastia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Grenoble 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Guingamp 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne St Etienne
Zanga Koné 🟨
25′
Nathan Zohoré 🟨
26′
Demba Thiam 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Lucas Stassin
C. Fatou 🔁
↦ Z. Kone
59′
62′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ A. Boakye
63′
🔁 J. Duffus
↦ L. Stassin
H. Toure 🔁
↦ L. Raillot
72′
E. Mpembele Boula 🔁
↦ A. El Farissi
72′
74′
Z. Davitashvili 0–1
A. Moueffek
S. Duflos 🔁
↦ D. Thiam
76′
N. Fatar 🔁
↦ N. Binet
76′
79′
🟨 Ebenezer Annan
Sonny Duflos 🟨
85′
89′
🔁 N. El Jamali
↦ Z. Davitashvili
89′
🔁 B. Old
↦ E. Annan
95′
🟨 João Ferreira
Exauce Mpembele Boula 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Boulogne

5-3-2
16 I. Kone G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
15 A. Pinot D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
14 J. Bultel M
8 L. Raillot M
19 N. Binet M
10 A. El Farissi F
9 Z. Kone F
Bench (7)
30 A. Uriev
22 S. Duflos
24 L. Siliadin
20 H. Toure
27 E. Mpembele Boula
23 N. Fatar
17 C. Fatou

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 G. Larsonneur G
13 J. Ferreira D
15 C. Lamba D
3 M. Nade D
19 E. Annan D
29 A. Moueffek M
5 M. Jaber M
10 F. Tardieu M
20 A. Boakye F
32 L. Stassin F
22 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
1 B. Maubleu
2 S. Stojkovic
31 N. El Jamali
35 L. Gadegbeku
7 I. Cardona
17 J. Duffus
11 B. Old

Coach: Philippe Montanier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,17
U
3,34
B ✓
2,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.