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LaLiga2
Referee: A Fuentes
Ceuta
S T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ceuta 20. · Sp Gijon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.3 6
2 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Cadiz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +4 +3.1 3
6 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Santander 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Sociedad B 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Leganes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Almeria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Albacete 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Andorra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Mirandes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Castellon 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Ceuta 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.3 0
21 Cultural Leonesa 1 0 0 1 -4 -3.1 0
22 Granada 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U
2,97
B ✓
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Fuentes · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.