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Premier League

Referee: C Kavanagh

Leeds

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Everton

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,13 xG 0,80

54% Possession 46%

21 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

11 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
3	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
8	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
15	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0
18	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
6	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
9	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
3	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
4	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
5	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
6	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
7	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
8	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
9	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.