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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Troyes

S T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Montpellier

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 8. · Montpellier 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nancy	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Reims	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Le Mans	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Annecy	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Laval	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Dunkerque	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Rodez	3	0	2	1	-4	2
14	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Red Star	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Le Mans	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Rodez	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Annecy	2	1	0	1	-1	3
5	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Grenoble	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.