Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: S Hooper

Man United

S T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Arsenal

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Man United Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,52 xG 1,31

61% Possession 39%

22 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
3	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
7	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
12	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
15	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0
16	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
6	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
2	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
3	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
4	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
5	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
6	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
7	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
8	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.