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La Liga

Referee: César Soto Grado

Ath Madrid

S T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Elche

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,74 xG 0,57

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 17. · Elche 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.0	4
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.9	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
13	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
15	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
16	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
19	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
20	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
3	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
10	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
11	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.9	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
8	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
9	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
11	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.