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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Freiburg
S U S T S
1–3
Full-time
Augsburg
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

2,60 xG 1,34
60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -25 Augsburg – Freiburg 0–0 19. Oct -24 Freiburg – Augsburg 3–1 25. Feb -24 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–1 1. Oct -23 Freiburg – Augsburg 2–0 28. Jan -23 Freiburg – Augsburg 3–1

Match report

Freiburg Augsburg
Lucas Höler ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
18′
32′
⚽ D. Giannoulis 0–1
Eren Dinkçi 🟨
37′
Christian Günter 🟨
40′
42′
⚽ C. Matsima 0–2
M. Komur
45′
⚽ M. Wolf 0–3
Half-time 0–3
50′
🟨 Chrislain Matsima
Matthias Ginter 🟨
51′
Eren Dinkçi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
57′
1–3 V. Grifo ⚽
58′
C. Irie 🔁
↦ E. Dinkci
60′
60′
🔁 P. Tietz
↦ D. Giannoulis
61′
🟨 Mert Kömür
68′
🟨 Phillip Tietz
M. Rohl 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
70′
70′
🔁 E. Rexhbecaj
↦ E. Saad
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ J. Manzambi
81′
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ C. Gunter
81′
86′
🟨 Marius Wolf
86′
🔁 C. Zesiger
↦ M. Wolf
87′
🔁 A. Maier
↦ R. Fellhauer
95′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbeçaj
Cyriaque Irié 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Gunter D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
18 E. Dinkci M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
9 L. Holer F
Bench (9)
21 F. Muller
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
20 J. Adamu
22 C. Irie
27 N. Hofler
33 J. Makengo
34 M. Rohl
43 B. Ogbus

Coach: Julian Schuster

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 F. Dahmen G
5 C. Matsima D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
27 M. Wolf M
19 R. Fellhauer M
4 H. Massengo M
13 D. Giannoulis M
17 K. Jakic F
36 M. Komur F
26 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
22 N. Labrovic
3 M. Pedersen
8 E. Rexhbecaj
10 A. Maier
15 S. Mounie
16 C. Zesiger
21 P. Tietz
29 K. Dong
40 N. Banks

Coach: Sandro Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
🔒
U
3,58
🔒
B ✓
4,25
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
U2,5
1,87
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.