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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Eivind Bodding
Start
S S S S T
3–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,7
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 51%
58%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
68%
61%
Both score Ø 60%
53%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 2. · Aalesund 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 20 15 5 0 +36 50
2 Start 19 11 4 4 +16 37
3 Sogndal 20 10 4 6 +7 34
4 Aalesund 18 8 8 2 +12 32
5 Lyn 20 9 4 7 +9 31
6 Kongsvinger 19 8 6 5 +7 30
7 Egersund 19 8 5 6 +0 29
8 Ranheim 19 7 4 8 -9 25
9 Asane 20 6 6 8 -5 24
10 hodd 20 6 6 8 -8 24
11 Raufoss 20 5 8 7 -2 23
12 Odd 20 6 5 9 -3 23
13 Moss 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Stabaek 20 3 7 10 -12 16
15 Mjondalen 20 3 6 11 -22 15
16 Skeid 20 1 8 11 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Aalesund
1–0 H. Lorentzen
E. Schulze
33′
Half-time 1–0
S. Griesbeck 🔁
↦ A. Ujkani
46′
46′
🔁 F. Heiselberg
↦ E. Myrlid
2–0 E. Schulze
H. Lorentzen
64′
65′
🟨 S. Grytebust
69′
🟨 F. Heiselberg
3–0 S. Griesbeck
J. Norheim
70′
S. Sjokvist 🔁
↦ F. Palerud
75′
75′
🔁 M. Andresen
↦ K. Nesso
75′
🔁 D. Johannsson
↦ H. Melland
75′
🔁 K. Lonebu
↦ P. Ngongo
79′
🟨 H. Hammer
82′
🔁 E. Froysa
↦ J. Orsahl
88′
D. Johannsson 3–1
K. Lonebu
A. Adebayo 🔁
↦ L. Gausdal
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Larsen
4 S. Hansen
16 T. Strannegard
3 A. Ujkani
6 J. Norheim
2 F. Palerud
10 S. Mvoue
30 L. Gausdal
11 E. Schulze
20 H. Lorentzen
14 M. Soomets
Bench (9)
24 S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
5 O. Jebali
9 A. Adebayo
13 S. Griesbeck
17 B. Sundo
19 D. Dashaev
21 S. Sjokvist
22 A. E. Nilsen
29 E. Gono

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 A. Kjelsen
7 K. Nesso
25 J. Kitolano
21 M. Christensen
4 S. Haram
6 H. Hammer
8 H. Melland
16 J. Orsahl
9 P. Ngongo
17 E. Myrlid
Bench (7)
26 T. Larsen
2 M. Andresen
3 O. Gudmundsson
11 D. Johannsson
19 F. Heiselberg
23 E. Froysa
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eivind Bodding · 19 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.