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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Hearts

S S S S S

3–3

Full-time

Motherwell

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Motherwell 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.8	6
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.5	6
3	Livingston	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.6	4
4	Hibernian	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
5	Kilmarnock	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
6	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
7	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
9	Dundee	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
10	St Mirren	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
11	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Livingston	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
3	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Hibernian	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
6	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.0	1
8	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	St Mirren	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Dundee United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Dundee	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
3	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
5	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
6	Livingston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.0	1
8	Dundee	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	St Mirren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
12	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.