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Serie A
Referee: Giuseppe Collu
Milan
S T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Cremonese
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,92 xG 0,21
64% Possession 36%
24 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -23 Milan – Cremonese 1–1 8. Nov -22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0

Match report

Milan Cremonese
28′
⚽ F. Baschirotto 0–1
A. Zerbin
1–1 S. Pavlovic ⚽
P. Estupinan
45′
Half-time 1–1
A. Jimenez 🔁
↦ P. Estupinan
46′
48′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
56′
🔁 M. Payero
↦ J. Vandeputte
56′
🔁 W. Bondo
↦ A. Grassi
61′
⚽ F. Bonazzoli 1–2
G. Pezzella
S. Chukwueze 🔁
↦ F. Tomori
65′
65′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ D. Okereke
69′
🟨 Filippo Terracciano
A. Jashari 🔁
↦ L. Modric
74′
77′
🟨 Martín Payero
Álex Jiménez 🟨
78′
83′
🔁 F. Ceccherini
↦ M. Bianchetti
84′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ F. Bonazzoli
88′
🟨 Warren Bondo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Milan

3-5-2
16 M. Maignan G
23 F. Tomori D
46 M. Gabbia D
31 S. Pavlovic D
56 A. Saelemaekers M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
14 L. Modric M
19 Y. Fofana M
2 P. Estupinan M
7 S. Gimenez F
11 C. Pulisic F
Bench (10)
1 P. Terracciano
37 M. Pittarella
5 K. De Winter
20 A. Jimenez
24 Z. Athekame
33 D. Bartesaghi
4 S. Ricci
30 A. Jashari
80 Y. Musah
21 S. Chukwueze

Coach: Marco Landucci

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 E. Audero G
24 F. Terracciano D
6 F. Baschirotto D
15 M. Bianchetti D
7 A. Zerbin M
18 M. Collocolo M
33 A. Grassi M
27 J. Vandeputte M
3 G. Pezzella M
77 D. Okereke F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (12)
16 M. Silvestri
69 L. Nava
9 M. De Luca
17 L. Sernicola
22 R. Floriani
23 F. Ceccherini
55 F. Folino
19 M. Castagnetti
32 M. Payero
38 W. Bondo
48 D. Lordkipanidze
99 A. Sanabria

Coach: Davide Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,34
🔒
U
5,09
🔒
B ✓
8,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,61
🔒
U2,5
2,25
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Giuseppe Collu · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.