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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Jan Morten Tennøy

Sogndal

U S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Moss

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Moss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

47%

32%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

68%

74%

Both score Ø 69%

79%

58%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 4. · Moss 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	19	14	5	0	+35	47
2	Start	19	11	4	4	+16	37
3	Aalesund	18	8	8	2	+12	32
4	Sogndal	19	9	4	6	+5	31
5	Lyn	19	8	4	7	+8	28
6	Egersund	18	8	4	6	+0	28
7	Kongsvinger	18	7	6	5	+6	27
8	Ranheim	18	7	3	8	-9	24
9	Raufoss	19	5	8	6	-1	23
10	Odd	19	6	5	8	-2	23
11	Asane	19	6	5	8	-5	23
12	hodd	19	6	5	8	-8	23
13	Moss	19	6	4	9	-10	22
14	Stabaek	19	3	6	10	-12	15
15	Mjondalen	19	3	5	11	-22	14
16	Skeid	19	1	8	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Aalesund	10	6	4	0	+15	22
3	Moss	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Odd	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Kongsvinger	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Start	9	5	1	3	+7	16
7	Raufoss	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Sogndal	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Asane	10	4	3	3	+0	15
10	hodd	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Ranheim	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Lyn	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Egersund	8	3	2	3	-6	11
14	Stabaek	10	2	3	5	-3	9
15	Mjondalen	9	1	3	5	-12	6
16	Skeid	9	0	4	5	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	7	3	0	+20	24
2	Start	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Egersund	10	5	2	3	+6	17
4	Lyn	9	5	1	3	+10	16
5	Sogndal	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	Kongsvinger	9	2	4	3	+0	10
7	Aalesund	8	2	4	2	-3	10
8	Ranheim	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	hodd	10	2	3	5	-9	9
10	Asane	9	2	2	5	-5	8
11	Mjondalen	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Skeid	10	1	4	5	-2	7
13	Raufoss	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Stabaek	9	1	3	5	-9	6
15	Odd	10	1	2	7	-8	5
16	Moss	9	0	3	6	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.