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Eredivisie

Referee: R Hensgens

Go Ahead Eagles

U S T U U

0–3

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

3,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,60 xG 1,71

68% Possession 32%

19 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 11. · Sparta Rotterdam 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.2	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.3	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
4	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
6	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.4	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
9	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-4	-0.4	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.3	2
12	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
13	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.1	1
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
16	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
13	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
14	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
15	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
16	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
6	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
10	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
14	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
15	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
18	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.