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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
VVV Venlo
T S T S T
0–3
Full-time
Heerenveen
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 11. · Heerenveen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 5 2 0 +19 17
2 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 2 0 +13 17
3 AZ Alkmaar 7 5 1 1 +13 16
4 Vitesse 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Twente 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Willem II 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Utrecht 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Feyenoord 7 2 4 1 -1 10
11 VVV Venlo 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -1 7
13 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 Groningen 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 FC Emmen 8 2 1 5 -6 7
16 Den Haag 8 2 0 6 -6 6
17 For Sittard 7 0 2 5 -13 2
18 Waalwijk 7 0 1 6 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Heerenveen
8′
C. Ejuke 0–1
S. Floranus
13′
C. Ejuke 0–2
Tobias Pachonik 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–2
E. Soriano 🔁
↦ C. Kum
46′
J. Sinclair 🔁
↦ R. Neudecker
46′
54′
🟨 Sherel Floranus
69′
🔁 J. Bruijn
↦ J. Veerman
82′
🔁 R. van Rhijn
↦ S. Floranus
Roel Janssen 🟨
83′
87′
J. Odgaard 0–3
J. Bruijn
91′
🔁 A. Halilović
↦ C. Ejuke
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 T. Pachonik D
31 L. Cattermole M
6 D. Post M
11 R. Neudecker M
21 E. Linthorst M
7 H. Wright F
19 J. Yeboah M
Bench (9)
9 E. Soriano
15 J. Sinclair
5 S. Schäfer
30 M. Antunic
20 D. van Bruggen
8 P. van Ooijen
17 T. Dekker
18 S. Scheimann
16 D. van Crooij

Coach: R. Maaskant

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
5 L. Woudenberg D
2 S. Floranus D
14 I. Drešević D
18 S. Botman D
6 H. Faik M
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
9 J. Odgaard F
11 M. van Bergen F
8 C. Ejuke F
Bench (10)
13 J. Bruijn
16 R. van Rhijn
10 A. Halilović
15 Đoàn Văn Hậu
23 F. Bednarek
31 H. Akujobi
24 T. Doornbusch
4 A. Skovgaard
17 A. Dreyer
3 D. Høegh

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,23
U
3,55
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.