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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Heerenveen

T U T U S

1–3

Full-time

Ajax

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 52%

32%

71%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

1,6

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

8 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	25	18	2	5	+37	56
2	Ajax	24	17	2	5	+43	53
3	Feyenoord	24	13	8	3	+13	47
4	PSV Eindhoven	25	13	7	5	+25	46
5	Willem II	25	13	5	7	+5	44
6	Vitesse	26	12	5	9	+10	41
7	Utrecht	24	11	5	8	+12	38
8	Groningen	25	10	5	10	+2	35
9	Heracles	25	9	6	10	+4	33
10	Heerenveen	25	8	9	8	+2	33
11	Sparta Rotterdam	25	9	6	10	+0	33
12	FC Emmen	26	9	5	12	-13	32
13	VVV Venlo	26	8	4	14	-27	28
14	Twente	26	7	6	13	-12	27
15	Zwolle	26	7	5	14	-18	26
16	For Sittard	26	6	8	12	-23	26
17	Den Haag	26	4	7	15	-29	19
18	Waalwijk	25	4	3	18	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	0	2	+32	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	10	1	2	+24	31
3	FC Emmen	13	9	2	2	+14	29
4	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+20	27
5	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+12	27
6	Willem II	13	7	4	2	+8	25
7	Sparta Rotterdam	13	7	3	3	+14	24
8	Vitesse	13	7	3	3	+9	24
9	Heracles	12	7	1	4	+12	22
10	Groningen	12	7	1	4	+8	22
11	For Sittard	13	6	4	3	+5	22
12	Utrecht	11	7	0	4	+14	21
13	Twente	13	5	3	5	+1	18
14	VVV Venlo	13	5	3	5	-7	18
15	Heerenveen	13	3	8	2	+1	17
16	Zwolle	12	5	2	5	-2	17
17	Den Haag	13	2	6	5	-6	12
18	Waalwijk	13	3	2	8	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	1	3	+13	25
2	Ajax	11	6	2	3	+11	20
3	Feyenoord	12	5	5	2	+1	20
4	PSV Eindhoven	13	5	4	4	+5	19
5	Willem II	12	6	1	5	-3	19
6	Vitesse	13	5	2	6	+1	17
7	Utrecht	13	4	5	4	-2	17
8	Heerenveen	12	5	1	6	+1	16
9	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Heracles	13	2	5	6	-8	11
11	VVV Venlo	13	3	1	9	-20	10
12	Twente	13	2	3	8	-13	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-14	9
14	Zwolle	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Den Haag	13	2	1	10	-23	7
16	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-24	4
17	For Sittard	13	0	4	9	-28	4
18	FC Emmen	13	0	3	10	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.