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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
VVV Venlo
T T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
5,0
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,3
5,0
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
19 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 6. · Heerenveen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 VVV Venlo 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Excelsior 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 De Graafschap 4 1 1 2 -2 4
10 Utrecht 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Heracles 3 1 1 1 -3 4
12 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -7 4
13 Groningen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Den Haag 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 NAC Breda 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Vitesse 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Heerenveen
32′
S. Lammers 0–1
D. Høegh
Half-time 0–1
P. Joosten 🔁
↦ M. Samuelsen
46′
59′
🟨 Morten Thorsby
Moreno Rutten 🟨
62′
1–1 P. Joosten
69′
T. Sušić 🔁
↦ P. van Ooijen
71′
75′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ M. Vlap
C. Kum 🔁
↦ M. Rutten
88′
88′
🔁 J. Bruijn
↦ A. Zeneli
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 J. Promes D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
10 J. Opoku F
8 P. van Ooijen M
9 R. Seuntjens M
7 M. Samuelsen M
11 J. Grot F
Bench (9)
19 P. Joosten
31 T. Sušić
14 C. Kum
16 D. van Crooij
17 T. Dekker
20 D. van Bruggen
22 B. Verbong
21 A. Borgmann
26 P. Mlapa

Coach: M. Steijn

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
14 D. Bulthuis D
2 S. Floranus D
5 K. Pierie D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
10 B. Rienstra M
8 M. Thorsby M
18 M. Vlap M
13 A. Zeneli F
9 S. Lammers F
Bench (11)
11 M. van Bergen
26 J. Bruijn
4 N. Næss
7 M. Rojas
12 D. Schmidt
15 R. Kongolo
16 L. Woudenberg
17 N. Mihajlović
19 P. van Amersfoort
23 F. Bednarek
24 T. Doornbusch

Coach: J. Olde Riekerink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.