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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Groningen
U S T S S
0–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
35%
65%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 8. · VVV Venlo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +46 53
2 AZ Alkmaar 22 15 2 5 +29 47
3 Feyenoord 23 13 7 3 +13 46
4 PSV Eindhoven 23 12 6 5 +24 42
5 Willem II 24 12 5 7 +3 41
6 Vitesse 23 11 5 7 +11 38
7 Utrecht 22 10 5 7 +12 35
8 Groningen 23 10 5 8 +5 35
9 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 +1 30
10 Sparta Rotterdam 24 8 6 10 -4 30
11 Heracles 23 8 5 10 +3 29
12 FC Emmen 24 8 5 11 -12 29
13 Twente 23 7 6 10 -9 27
14 For Sittard 24 6 6 12 -23 24
15 VVV Venlo 23 7 3 13 -25 24
16 Zwolle 23 6 4 13 -17 22
17 Den Haag 24 4 6 14 -25 18
18 Waalwijk 24 3 3 18 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen VVV Venlo
Half-time 0–0
Ahmed El Messaoudi 🟨
73′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ D. Redan
73′
R. Postema 🔁
↦ D. van Kaam
73′
T. Suslov 🔁
↦ A. Matusiwa
87′
87′
O. Darfalou 0–1
T. Pachonik
Mo El Hankouri 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 S. van Dijck
↦ T. Bruns
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
5 S. Memišević D
42 D. Zeefuik D
17 K. Itakura D
10 R. Lundqvist M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam M
11 J. Asoro M
9 D. Redan F
Bench (12)
14 M. El Hankouri
29 R. Postema
52 T. Suslov
43 J. van Kaam
19 N. Jakobsen
51 K. Slor
16 J. Hoekstra
8 S. Schreck
32 M. van Duin
28 T. Sopacua
46 T. Poll
22 G. Can

Coach: D. Buijs

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
13 N. Röseler D
2 T. Pachonik D
18 R. Gelmi D
6 D. Post M
20 T. Bruns M
10 J. Opoku M
29 O. Darfalou F
7 H. Wright F
19 J. Yeboah F
Bench (10)
26 S. van Dijck
22 B. Verbong
21 E. Linthorst
24 S. Janssen
17 T. Dekker
15 J. Sinclair
11 R. Neudecker
5 S. Schäfer
23 Y. Roemer
16 D. van Crooij

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
U
3,81
B ✓
5,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.