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Champions League
Referee: R Petrescu
Lens
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
3,2
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 0,56
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lens PSV Eindhoven
30′
🟨 André Ramalho
Half-time 0–0
Nampalys Mendy 🟨
52′
54′
⚽ J. Bakayoko 0–1
M. Tillman
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ F. Sotoca
63′
A. Thomasson 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
63′
David Pereira da Costa 🔁
↦ N. Mendy
63′
1–1 E. Wahi ⚽
P. Frankowski
65′
70′
🟨 Olivier Boscagli
71′
🔁 I. Saibari
↦ M. Tillman
M. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ E. Wahi
72′
M. Haïdara 🔁
↦ D. Machado
82′
82′
🔁 G. Til
↦ J. Bakayoko
82′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ H. Lozano
91′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
Salis Abdul Samed 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Ricardo Pepi
Adrien Thomasson 🟨
94′
Wesley Saïd 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
26 N. Mendy M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
11 A. Fulgini F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (12)
22 W. Saïd
28 A. Thomasson
10 David Pereira da Costa
27 M. Guilavogui
21 M. Haïdara
20 F. Maouassa
18 A. Diouf
40 Y. Pandor
16 J. Leca
2 R. Aguilar
23 N. El Aynaoui
25 A. Khusanov

Coach: F. Haise

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
10 M. Tillman M
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
27 H. Lozano F
Bench (9)
34 I. Saibari
20 G. Til
32 Y. Vertessen
14 R. Pepi
24 B. Waterman
2 S. Sambo
30 P. van Aanholt
16 J. Drommel
26 I. Babadi

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.