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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
Clermont
T T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Lens
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
20%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 17. · Lens 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 1 1 +20 40
2 Rennes 15 8 4 3 +14 28
3 Nice 15 8 3 4 +13 27
4 Marseille 14 7 5 2 +9 26
5 Lens 15 7 4 4 +7 25
6 Strasbourg 16 6 5 5 +9 23
7 Monaco 16 6 5 5 +3 23
8 Angers 16 5 7 4 +2 22
9 Montpellier 16 6 4 6 +1 22
10 Lyon 14 6 4 4 +1 22
11 Brest 16 5 6 5 +1 21
12 Nantes 15 5 4 6 +0 19
13 Lille 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Reims 15 3 7 5 -2 16
15 Troyes 16 4 4 8 -8 16
16 Lorient 16 3 6 7 -12 15
17 Clermont 15 3 4 8 -12 13
18 Bordeaux 16 2 7 7 -13 13
19 Metz 16 2 6 8 -15 12
20 St Etienne 16 2 6 8 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Lens
Johan Gastien 🟨
9′
12′
J. Gastien 1–0
own goal
15′
🟨 Kevin Danso
36′
🟨 Massadio Haïdara
Florent Ogier 🟨
38′
2–0 Y. Magnin
A. Zedadka
41′
Half-time 2–1
47′
S. Fofana 2–1
J. Clauss
56′
🟨 Jonathan Clauss
Y. Diaby 🔁
↦ J. Allevinah
63′
3–1 M. Bayo
J. Dossou
65′
69′
🟨 Przemysław Frankowski
70′
🔁 G. Kakuta
↦ F. Sotoca
70′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
75′
79′
🔁 F. Medina
↦ M. Haïdara
Pierre-Yves Hamel 🟨
81′
Yadaly Diaby ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
83′
Yadaly Diaby 🟥
84′
Jodel Dossou 🟨
86′
A. Seidu 🔁
↦ J. Dossou
86′
89′
🔁 C. Jean
↦ J. Gradit
89′
🔁 David Costa
↦ Y. Cahuzac
96′
🟨 Corentin Jean
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Clermont

4-2-3-1
40 O. Djoco G
21 F. Ogier D
12 V. N'Simba D
20 A. Zedadka D
5 J. Billong D
25 J. Gastien M
24 J. Dossou M
7 Y. Magnin M
19 S. Samed M
11 J. Allevinah M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
28 Y. Diaby
26 P. Hamel
36 A. Seidu
1 A. Desmas
3 J. Boyer
15 A. Mendy
10 J. Iglesias
9 J. Tell
8 J. Berthomier

Coach: P. Gastien

Lens

3-5-2
16 J. Leca G
21 M. Haïdara D
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
18 Y. Cahuzac M
8 S. Fofana M
29 P. Frankowski M
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca F
15 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga F
Bench (9)
10 G. Kakuta
9 I. Ganago
14 F. Medina
25 C. Jean
20 David Costa
27 C. Boli
33 J. Varane
1 W. Fariñez
5 C. Wooh

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,56
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.