Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Clermont
Lens
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |
Rennes
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 |
Nice
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +13 | 27 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 |
Lens
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Strasbourg
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Angers
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Montpellier
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 11 |
Brest
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |
Nantes
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +0 | 19 |
| 13 |
Lille
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 |
Troyes
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 |
Clermont
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 |
Bordeaux
|
16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -13 | 13 |
| 19 |
Metz
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -15 | 12 |
| 20 |
St Etienne
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -15 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
V. N'Simba
D
Y. Magnin
M
J. Allevinah
M
M. Bayo
F
Coach: P. Gastien
M. Haïdara
D
J. Clauss
M
J. Gradit
D
K. Danso
D
S. Fofana
M
P. Frankowski
M
C. Doucouré
M
F. Sotoca
F
A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
F
Coach: F. Haise
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Reims
Clermont
Clermont
Nice
St Etienne
Clermont
Clermont
Marseille
Nantes
Clermont
A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.