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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Nimes
T T U U S
0–4
Full-time
Paris SG
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

24% Possession 76%
5 Shots 30
2 Shots on target 11
0 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 13. · Paris SG 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 7 4 3 0 +7 15
2 Lille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Paris SG 6 4 0 2 +9 12
5 Montpellier 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Monaco 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Bordeaux 6 2 3 1 +4 9
10 Marseille 6 2 3 1 +0 9
11 Brest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
12 Angers 6 3 0 3 -7 9
13 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +2 8
14 Lyon 6 1 4 1 +2 7
15 Metz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Lorient 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Strasbourg 6 1 0 5 -9 3
19 Reims 6 0 2 4 -5 2
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Paris SG
Lucas Deaux 🟨
6′
11′
🔁 Ander Herrera
↦ L. Paredes
Loïck Landre 🟥
12′
18′
🟨 Rafinha Alcántara
20′
🟨 Idrissa Gueye
32′
K. Mbappé 0–1
Rafinha
Half-time 0–1
P. Martinez 🔁
↦ A. Cubas
54′
58′
🔁 C. Dagba
↦ Rafinha
K. Aribi 🔁
↦ N. Roux
67′
77′
A. Florenzi 0–2
Pablo Sarabia
83′
K. Mbappé 0–3
Pablo Sarabia
84′
🔁 Jesé
↦ K. Mbappé
84′
🔁 K. Ruiz-Atil
↦ A. Florenzi
M. Koné 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
85′
M. Majouga 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
85′
M. Ahlinvi 🔁
↦ L. Fomba
85′
88′
Pablo Sarabia 0–4
C. Dagba
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Nimes

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
5 L. Landre D
15 G. Paquiez D
21 P. Burner D
26 F. Miguel D
8 L. Deaux M
7 N. Eliasson F
18 A. Cubas M
12 L. Fomba M
25 N. Roux F
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (9)
4 P. Martinez
13 K. Aribi
28 M. Koné
33 M. Majouga
11 M. Ahlinvi
16 L. Dias
27 K. Denkey
3 B. Meling
29 S. Alakouch

Coach: J. Arpinon

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
24 A. Florenzi D
3 P. Kimpembe D
22 A. Diallo D
25 M. Bakker D
27 I. Gueye M
19 Pablo Sarabia F
8 L. Paredes M
12 Rafinha M
7 K. Mbappé F
18 M. Kean F
Bench (9)
21 Ander Herrera
31 C. Dagba
35 Jesé
36 K. Ruiz-Atil
33 M. Kapo
32 T. Pembele
37 B. Fadiga
16 Sergio Rico
34 X. Simons

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,19
U
5,02
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.