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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Nimes
T S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Lens
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 15. · Lens 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Lille 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 St Etienne 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Montpellier 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Marseille 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Monaco 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Nice 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Bordeaux 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Brest 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Angers 4 2 0 2 -3 6
13 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
14 Nantes 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 Metz 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Lorient 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Strasbourg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
19 Reims 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Dijon 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Lens
2′
🟨 Jonathan Gradit
34′
I. Ganago 0–1
G. Kakuta
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Steven Fortès
↦ J. Gradit
50′
🟨 Facundo Medina
54′
🔁 S. Banza
↦ I. Ganago
P. Burner 🔁
↦ G. Paquiez
66′
K. Denkey 🔁
↦ N. Roux
66′
M. Majouga 🔁
↦ Y. Benrahou
66′
72′
🔁 C. Jean
↦ F. Sotoca
81′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ J. Clauss
81′
🔁 M. Perez
↦ G. Kakuta
1–1 Z. Ferhat
87′
90′
🟨 Manuel Perez
F. Miguel 🔁
↦ A. Briançon
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nimes

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
5 L. Landre D
23 A. Briançon D
15 G. Paquiez D
3 B. Meling D
10 Z. Ferhat F
18 A. Cubas M
12 L. Fomba M
22 Y. Benrahou M
25 N. Roux F
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (9)
21 P. Burner
27 K. Denkey
33 M. Majouga
26 F. Miguel
16 L. Dias
4 P. Martinez
17 H. Duljević
13 M. Ahlinvi
8 L. Deaux

Coach: J. Arpinon

Lens

3-4-3
16 J. Leca G
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
3 I. Sylla M
14 F. Medina D
4 L. Badé D
18 Y. Cahuzac M
10 G. Kakuta F
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca F
27 I. Ganago F
Bench (9)
15 Steven Fortès
23 S. Banza
25 C. Jean
33 I. Boura
6 M. Perez
21 M. Haïdara
9 G. Robail
30 W. Fariñez
22 T. Mauricio

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U ✓
3,28
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Schneider · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.