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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Metz
U T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Nimes
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
33%
52%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 15. · Nimes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 22 2 3 +51 68
2 Marseille 28 16 8 4 +12 56
3 Rennes 27 14 5 8 +9 47
4 Lille 27 14 4 9 +7 46
5 Lyon 27 11 7 9 +16 40
6 Montpellier 27 11 7 9 +6 40
7 Monaco 27 11 7 9 +1 40
8 Reims 27 9 11 7 +4 38
9 Nice 27 10 8 9 +2 38
10 Strasbourg 27 11 5 11 +0 38
11 Nantes 27 11 4 12 -1 37
12 Bordeaux 27 9 9 9 +6 36
13 Angers 27 10 6 11 -7 36
14 Brest 27 8 10 9 -2 34
15 Metz 27 7 10 10 -9 31
16 St Etienne 27 8 5 14 -16 29
17 Dijon 27 6 9 12 -11 27
18 Nimes 27 7 6 14 -14 27
19 Amiens 28 4 11 13 -19 23
20 Toulouse 27 3 4 20 -35 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -19 Nimes – Metz 1–1

Match report

Metz Nimes
1–0 O. Nguette
F. Centonze
7′
Half-time 1–1
49′
L. Deaux 1–1
Y. Benrahou
65′
🔁 R. Philippoteaux
↦ M. Koné
T. Ambrose 🔁
↦ O. Nguette
75′
80′
🔁 T. Valls
↦ Y. Benrahou
2–1 J. Boye
H. Maïga
81′
Noss Traoré 🔁
↦ F. Boulaya
83′
V. Angban 🔁
↦ H. Maïga
85′
89′
🔁 K. Denkey
↦ G. Paquiez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
14 V. Pajot M
11 O. Nguette
27 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
9 T. Ambrose
25 Noss Traoré
5 V. Angban
17 T. Delaine
6 M. Fofana
26 P. Yade
1 P. Delecroix

Coach: V. Hognon

Nimes

4-2-2-2
30 P. Bernardoni G
5 L. Landre D
4 P. Martinez D
15 G. Paquiez D
8 L. Deaux M
10 Z. Ferhat M
6 S. Sarr M
22 Y. Benrahou M
25 N. Roux F
20 R. Ripart D
28 M. Koné F
Bench (7)
7 R. Philippoteaux
18 T. Valls
27 K. Denkey
29 S. Alakouch
12 L. Fomba
16 L. Dias
26 F. Miguel

Coach: B. Blaquart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,08
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.