Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Metz
Nimes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | +51 | 68 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | +12 | 56 |
| 3 |
Rennes
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 47 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +7 | 46 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +16 | 40 |
| 6 |
Montpellier
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 40 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Reims
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 38 |
| 9 |
Nice
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +0 | 38 |
| 11 |
Nantes
|
27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Bordeaux
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 36 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 |
Brest
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 34 |
| 15 |
Metz
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -16 | 29 |
| 17 |
Dijon
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 |
Nimes
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 |
Amiens
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -19 | 23 |
| 20 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | -35 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Udol
D
Coach: V. Hognon
G. Paquiez
D
R. Ripart
D
Coach: B. Blaquart
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Amiens
Metz
Metz
Lyon
Nantes
Metz
Metz
Bordeaux
Montpellier
Metz
R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.