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Ligue 1
Referee: A Petit
Angers
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Metz
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 13. · Metz 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 5 0 2 +13 15
2 Rennes 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Lille 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Montpellier 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Lyon 7 2 4 1 +3 10
8 Monaco 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
11 Bordeaux 7 2 3 2 +2 9
12 Brest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
13 Angers 6 3 0 3 -7 9
14 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Metz 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Strasbourg 7 1 0 6 -10 3
19 Reims 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Metz
Souleyman Doumbia 🟨
14′
Romain Thomas 🟨
36′
37′
🟨 Matthieu Udol
1–0 T. Mangani
38′
39′
O. Nguette 1–1
M. Gueye
Half-time 1–1
V. Manceau 🔁
↦ A. Bamba
46′
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
46′
E. Ebosse 🔁
↦ S. Doumbia
46′
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
60′
71′
🔁 Y. Maziz
↦ W. Tchimbembé
Ismaël Traoré 🟨
72′
R. Alioui 🔁
↦ L. Diony
76′
77′
🔁 P. Yade
↦ O. Nguette
83′
🔁 B. Kouyaté
↦ J. Boye
84′
🟨 Vincent Pajot
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
25 A. Bamba D
3 S. Doumbia D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
18 I. Amadou M
13 S. Boufal M
10 A. Fulgini M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (9)
29 V. Manceau
11 J. Cabot
6 E. Ebosse
22 S. Thioub
7 R. Alioui
16 L. Butelle
4 M. Pavlović
21 M. Cho
23 A. Bobichon

Coach: S. Moulin

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
14 V. Pajot M
5 V. Angban M
11 O. Nguette F
10 F. Boulaya M
12 W. Tchimbembé M
13 M. Gueye M
Bench (7)
22 Y. Maziz
26 P. Yade
23 B. Kouyaté
30 M. Caillard
17 T. Delaine
25 A. Traoré
15 P. Sarr

Coach: F. Antonetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
3,33
B
3,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.