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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Metz
S S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Reims
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Metz 18. · Reims 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 St Etienne 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Lens 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Monaco 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Montpellier 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Paris SG 4 2 0 2 +2 6
8 Marseille 3 2 0 1 +0 6
9 Angers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Nice 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Lyon 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Nimes 4 1 1 2 +1 4
14 Nantes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Brest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Reims 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Dijon 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Reims
17′
🟨 Yunis Abdelhamid
1–0 I. Niane
F. Boulaya
18′
27′
🟨 Moreto Cassama
Farid Boulaya 🟨
43′
43′
B. Dia 1–1
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Ghislain Konan
50′
🟥 Marshall Munetsi
52′
🔁 D. Maresic
↦ Moreto Cassamã
53′
🟨 Mathieu Cafaro
T. Ambrose 🔁
↦ V. Angban
62′
68′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ A. Zeneli
68′
🔁 E. Toure
↦ M. Cafaro
P. Yade 🔁
↦ O. Nguette
71′
W. Tchimbembé 🔁
↦ V. Pajot
81′
2–1 I. Niane
P. Yade
88′
90′
🔁 K. Sierhuis
↦ V. Berisha
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
14 V. Pajot M
5 V. Angban M
11 O. Nguette F
10 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (9)
9 T. Ambrose
26 P. Yade
12 W. Tchimbembé
30 M. Caillard
23 B. Kouyaté
15 C. Sabaly
17 T. Delaine
20 H. Diallo
6 M. Fofana

Coach: V. Hognon

Reims

4-2-3-1
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
3 G. Konan D
14 V. Berisha M
7 X. Chavalerin M
23 Moreto Cassamã M
24 M. Cafaro M
15 M. Munetsi D
10 A. Zeneli M
11 B. Dia F
Bench (9)
29 D. Maresic
8 D. Kutesa
27 E. Toure
9 K. Sierhuis
16 Y. Diouf
21 N. Mbuku
17 A. Donis
20 T. Dingomé
28 T. De Smet

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
2,87
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,87
U2,5
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.