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Serie A
Referee: Simone Sozza
Cagliari
T T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 0,98
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cagliari Fiorentina
Adam Obert 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Gennaro Borrelli 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Viti
↦ L. Ranieri
46′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ C. Ndour
Z. Luvumbo 🔁
↦ S. Esposito
61′
L. Mazzitelli 🔁
↦ M. Prati
61′
62′
🔁 P. Mari
↦ P. Comuzzo
68′
R. Mandragora 0–1
A. Gudmundsson
71′
🟨 Marin Pongračić
72′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ A. Gudmundsson
G. Gaetano 🔁
↦ A. Deiola
74′
R. Idrissi 🔁
↦ A. Obert
75′
77′
🔁 F. Parisi
↦ R. Gosens
79′
🟨 Pablo Marí
S. Kilicsoy 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
81′
Luca Mazzitelli 🟨
82′
1–1 S. Luperto
G. Gaetano
90′
Semih Kılıçsoy 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
1 E. Caprile G
28 G. Zappa D
26 Y. Mina D
6 S. Luperto D
33 A. Obert D
8 M. Adopo M
16 M. Prati M
14 A. Deiola M
94 S. Esposito M
29 G. Borrelli F
90 M. Folorunsho F
Bench (11)
12 V. Iliev
24 G. Ciocci
3 R. Idrissi
18 A. Di Pardo
10 G. Gaetano
17 M. Felici
21 N. Cavuoti
9 S. Kilicsoy
22 A. Vinciguerra
77 Z. Luvumbo
4 L. Mazzitelli

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Fiorentina

3-4-2-1
43 D. de Gea G
15 P. Comuzzo D
5 M. Pongracic D
6 L. Ranieri D
2 Dodo M
7 S. Sohm M
44 N. Fagioli M
21 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gudmundsson F
27 C. Ndour F
20 M. Kean F
Bench (14)
1 L. Lezzerini
30 T. Martinelli
18 P. Mari
23 E. Kospo
26 M. Viti
29 N. Fortini
60 E. Kouadio
65 F. Parisi
8 R. Mandragora
17 A. Sabiri
22 J. Fazzini
24 A. Richardson
11 E. Dzeko
61 R. Braschi

Coach: Stefano Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,17
U ✓
3,27
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Simone Sozza · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.