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Serie A
Referee: L Pairetto
Cagliari
T T S T T
3–0
Full-time
Venezia
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 18%
22%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,52 xG 0,68
43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 14. · Venezia 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 +30 +21.2 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 +42 +32.6 77
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 +42 +28.4 74
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 +20 +13.4 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 +13 +16.8 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 +17 +10.7 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 +13 +11.7 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 +18 +20.9 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 +17 +5.0 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 -1 +2.1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 -3 -14.6 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 -12 -9.6 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 -14 -10.3 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 -17 -12.3 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 -33 -20.4 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 -15 -14.2 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 -20 -18.1 29
18 Empoli 36 5 13 18 -27 -18.0 28
19 Lecce 36 6 10 20 -33 -22.0 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 -37 -23.3 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Venezia
4′
🟨 Jay Idzes
1–0 Y. Mina
T. Augello
11′
Alessandro Deiola 🟨
14′
32′
🔁 C. Gytkjær
↦ G. Oristanio
2–0 R. Piccoli
N. Zortea
41′
Roberto Piccoli ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
43′
Half-time 2–0
G. Gaetano 🔁
↦ Zito Luvumbo
57′
70′
🔁 M. Marić
↦ J. Yeboah
70′
🔁 R. Haps
↦ M. Ellertsson
70′
🔁 F. Zampano
↦ J. Schingtienne
3–0 A. Deiola
A. Makoumbou
71′
M. Prati 🔁
↦ A. Makoumbou
74′
R. Marin 🔁
↦ A. Deiola
75′
75′
🔁 I. Doumbia
↦ Kike Pérez
N. Pintus 🔁
↦ N. Zortea
87′
N. Viola 🔁
↦ M. Adopo
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-5-2
25 E. Caprile G
28 G. Zappa D
26 Y. Mina D
6 S. Luperto D
19 N. Zortea M
8 M. Adopo M
29 A. Makoumbou M
14 A. Deiola M
3 T. Augello M
91 R. Piccoli F
77 Zito Luvumbo F
Bench (13)
70 G. Gaetano
16 M. Prati
18 R. Marin
36 N. Pintus
10 N. Viola
97 M. Felici
33 A. Obert
21 J. Jankto
1 G. Ciocci
9 F. Coman
80 K. Mutandwa
71 A. Sherri
24 J. Palomino

Coach: D. Nicola

Venezia

3-5-2
28 I. Radu G
25 J. Schingtienne D
4 J. Idzes D
2 Fali Candé D
24 A. Zerbin M
71 Kike Pérez M
14 H. Nicolussi M
6 G. Busio M
77 M. Ellertsson M
10 J. Yeboah F
11 G. Oristanio F
Bench (14)
9 C. Gytkjær
99 M. Marić
5 R. Haps
7 F. Zampano
97 I. Doumbia
33 M. Šverko
21 R. Sagrado
23 M. Grandi
1 J. Joronen
35 F. Stanković
18 D. Fila
16 A. Marcandalli
19 B. Bjarkason
79 F. Carboni

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
3,01
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.