Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cagliari
Venezia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | +30 | +21.2 | 78 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | +42 | +32.6 | 77 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | +42 | +28.4 | 74 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | +20 | +13.4 | 64 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | +13 | +16.8 | 64 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | +17 | +10.7 | 63 |
| 7 |
Bologna
|
36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | +13 | +11.7 | 62 |
| 8 |
Milan
|
36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | +18 | +20.9 | 60 |
| 9 |
Fiorentina
|
36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | +17 | +5.0 | 59 |
| 10 |
Como
|
36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -1 | +2.1 | 48 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | -3 | -14.6 | 44 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | -12 | -9.6 | 44 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | -14 | -10.3 | 40 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | -17 | -12.3 | 33 |
| 15 |
Verona
|
36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | -33 | -20.4 | 33 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -15 | -14.2 | 32 |
| 17 |
Venezia
|
36 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -20 | -18.1 | 29 |
| 18 |
Empoli
|
36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -27 | -18.0 | 28 |
| 19 |
Lecce
|
36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -33 | -22.0 | 28 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | -37 | -23.3 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Caprile
G
G. Zappa
D
Y. Mina
D
S. Luperto
D
N. Zortea
M
M. Adopo
M
A. Makoumbou
M
A. Deiola
M
T. Augello
M
R. Piccoli
F
Zito Luvumbo
F
Coach: D. Nicola
I. Radu
G
J. Schingtienne
D
J. Idzes
D
A. Zerbin
M
Kike Pérez
M
G. Busio
M
M. Ellertsson
M
J. Yeboah
F
G. Oristanio
F
Coach: E. Di Francesco
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Como
Cagliari
Cagliari
Udinese
Verona
Cagliari
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Inter
Cagliari
L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.