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Coppa Italia
Referee: M Perri
Cagliari
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Virtus Entella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Virtus Entella 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Como 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Pescara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Audace Cerignola 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -4 0
19 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Virtus Entella
32′
🟨 Ahmad Benali
1–0 R. Piccoli
M. Adopo
45′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Luca Parodi
61′
🔁 N. Karic
↦ M. Dalla Vecchia
61′
🔁 F. Russo
↦ B. Guiu
G. Zappa 🔁
↦ R. Idrissi
64′
S. Esposito 🔁
↦ Z. Luvumbo
64′
75′
🟨 Ivan Marconi
76′
🔁 M. Nichetti
↦ A. Benali
76′
🔁 A. Debenedetti
↦ T. Fumagalli
L. Mazzitelli 🔁
↦ M. Prati
77′
S. Kilicsoy 🔁
↦ R. Piccoli
77′
83′
🔁 D. Castelli
↦ A. Franzoni
86′
A. Deiola 2–0
own goal
N. Cavuoti 🔁
↦ A. Obert
89′
90′
🟨 Nermin Karić
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-5-2
1 E. Caprile G
14 A. Deiola D
26 Y. Mina D
33 A. Obert D
19 N. Zortea M
8 M. Adopo M
16 M. Prati M
90 M. Folorunsho M
3 R. Idrissi M
77 Z. Luvumbo F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (14)
G. Ciocci
V. Sarno
L. Mazzitelli
S. Kilicsoy
G. Gaetano
M. Felici
A. Di Pardo
M. Rog
N. Cavuoti
A. Vinciguerra
N. Pintus
G. Zappa
G. Borrelli
S. Esposito

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Virtus Entella

3-5-2
22 F. Del Frate G
23 L. Parodi D
6 A. Tiritiello D
15 I. Marconi D
94 F. Mezzoni M
24 A. Franzoni M
50 A. Benali M
27 M. Dalla Vecchia M
26 S. Di Mario M
20 T. Fumagalli F
11 B. Guiu F
Bench (14)
1 S. Colombi
12 S. Gariti
2 L. Palomba
43 A. Ndrecka
55 U. Ghio
81 A. Bottaro
90 D. Portanova
4 M. Nichetti
8 N. Karic
25 E. Matteazzi
77 A. Boccadamo
9 D. Castelli
19 A. Debenedetti
21 F. Russo

Coach: Andrea Chiappella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.