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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Bologna

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Como

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,69

36% Possession 64%

15 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 16. · Como 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	Milan	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
13	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
16	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0
20	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
11	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
6	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
7	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
9	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
10	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
11	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.