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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Mallorca
T U S U T
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
22%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 24
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 15. · Barcelona 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Sevilla 18 11 5 2 +16 38
3 Betis 19 10 3 6 +9 33
4 Ath Madrid 19 9 5 5 +9 32
5 Vallecano 19 9 3 7 +6 30
6 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +0 30
7 Barcelona 18 7 7 4 +7 28
8 Valencia 19 7 7 5 +3 28
9 Espanol 19 7 5 7 +0 26
10 Villarreal 18 6 7 5 +6 25
11 Ath Bilbao 19 5 9 5 +1 24
12 Celta 19 6 5 8 +0 23
13 Granada 19 5 8 6 -3 23
14 Osasuna 18 5 7 6 -5 22
15 Mallorca 18 4 8 6 -10 20
16 Getafe 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Elche 19 3 7 9 -9 16
18 Alaves 19 4 4 11 -14 16
19 Cadiz 18 2 8 8 -16 14
20 Levante 18 0 8 10 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Barcelona
44′
L. de Jong 0–1
Óscar Mingueza
Half-time 0–1
Ruiz de Galarreta 🔁
↦ I. Baba
61′
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Ángel
61′
Jordi Mboula 🔁
↦ Antonio Sánchez
70′
Javier Llabrés 🔁
↦ Lee Kang-In
71′
71′
🔁 Álvaro Sanz
↦ Nico González
76′
🔁 C. Lenglet
↦ Óscar Mingueza
79′
🟨 Ferran Jutglà
80′
🔁 Estanis
↦ Ilias Akhomach
Jaume Costa 🟨
83′
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ R. Battaglia
84′
Abdón Prats 🟨
89′
Dani Rodriguez 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Pablo Maffeo 🟨
95′
Martin Valjent 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 Manolo Reina G
18 Jaume Costa D
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
5 F. Russo D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
16 R. Battaglia M
12 I. Baba M
19 Lee Kang-In M
10 Antonio Sánchez M
22 Ángel F
Bench (12)
4 Ruiz de Galarreta
26 Fer Niño
7 Jordi Mboula
34 Javier Llabrés
9 Abdón Prats
31 Leo Román
8 Salva Sevilla
29 Josep Gayá
3 Brian Oliván
30 Ferrán Quetglas
20 A. Sedlar
2 Joan Sastre

Coach: Luis García

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
4 R. Araújo D
22 Óscar Mingueza D
24 Eric García D
21 F. de Jong M
6 Riqui Puig M
29 Ferran Jutglà F
28 Nico González M
17 L. de Jong F
37 Ilias Akhomach F
Bench (10)
34 Álvaro Sanz
15 C. Lenglet
39 Estanis
23 S. Umtiti
41 Mika Màrmol
38 Guillem Jaime
35 Arnau Comas
13 Neto
40 Lucas de Vega
26 Iñaki Peña

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,59
U
3,33
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.