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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Granada
U S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Granada Ath Bilbao
Yangel Herrera 🟨
10′
15′
🟨 Jon Morcillo
Germán Sánchez 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Y. Herrera
Montoro
49′
52′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
2–0 Luis Milla
53′
56′
🔁 Unai López
↦ Mikel Vesga
56′
🔁 Williams
↦ Capa
M. Gonalons 🔁
↦ Montoro
62′
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ D. Machís
62′
72′
🟨 Unai López
73′
🔁 Oihan Sancet
↦ Muniain
73′
🔁 Asier Villalibre
↦ Raúl García
Kenedy 🔁
↦ Y. Herrera
79′
R. Azeez 🔁
↦ Soldado
80′
80′
🔁 Unai Vencedor
↦ Dani García
84′
🟨 Yeray Álvarez
Víctor Díaz 🔁
↦ Luis Milla
89′
Maxime Gonalons 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
6 Germán Sánchez D
2 D. Foulquier D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
19 Montoro M
10 Antonio Puertas M
5 Luis Milla M
21 Y. Herrera M
9 Soldado F
11 D. Machís M
Bench (12)
4 M. Gonalons
14 Fede Vico
24 Kenedy
12 R. Azeez
16 Víctor Díaz
26 Alberto Soro
17 Quini
7 Antoñín Cortés
13 Aarón Escandell
35 Andorinha
20 Vallejo
23 Jorge Molina

Coach: Diego Martínez

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos M
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Capa D
5 Yeray D
22 Raúl García F
14 Dani García M
6 Mikel Vesga M
10 Muniain M
32 Jon Morcillo M
Bench (12)
8 Unai López
9 Williams
16 Oihan Sancet
20 Asier Villalibre
27 Unai Vencedor
13 Jokin Ezkieta
11 Iñigo Córdoba
3 Unai Núñez
28 Oier Zarraga
15 Lekue
17 Yuri
19 K. Kodro

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,82
U
3,00
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.