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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Ath Bilbao

S T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Cadiz

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Cadiz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%

13 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

7 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 12. · Cadiz 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Betis	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
7	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Celta	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
10	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Elche	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.