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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Eibar
S S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 13. · Ath Bilbao 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Betis 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Sociedad 3 1 2 0 +3 5
4 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Huesca 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Alaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Ath Bilbao
-5′
🟨 Kenan Kodro
40′
Unai López 0–1
Williams
Half-time 0–1
Quique González 🔁
↦ Recio
46′
Pedro León 🔁
↦ D. Kądzior
46′
1–1 Kike
Pedro León
48′
58′
🔁 Asier Villalibre
↦ Jon Morcillo
71′
ℹ️ Iñaki Williams
VAR: Goal cancelled
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ Rober Correa
71′
Arbilla 🔁
↦ T. Inui
84′
85′
🔁 Iñigo Córdoba
↦ Williams
85′
🔁 Oihan Sancet
↦ Muniain
87′
Unai López 1–2
Capa
Papakouli Diop 🟨
90′
Y. Muto 🔁
↦ Kike
90′
94′
🔁 Mikel Vesga
↦ Unai López
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-3-3
1 M. Dmitrović G
4 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Bigas D
20 Rober Correa D
24 Kévin Rodrigues D
8 P. Diop M
14 T. Inui F
18 Recio M
19 D. Kądzior F
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
Bench (12)
7 Quique González
21 Pedro León
22 Álvaro Tejero
23 Arbilla
12 Y. Muto
2 E. Burgos
11 Rafa
32 Unai Arieta
28 Eñaut Mendia
13 Yoel
5 José Martínez
6 Sergio Álvarez

Coach: Mendilibar

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
17 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Capa D
3 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García F
14 Dani García M
8 Unai López M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams M
32 Jon Morcillo M
Bench (12)
20 Asier Villalibre
11 Iñigo Córdoba
16 Oihan Sancet
6 Mikel Vesga
27 Unai Vencedor
15 Lekue
18 De Marcos
26 Iñigo Vicente
24 Balenziaga
28 Oier Zarraga
19 K. Kodro
13 Jokin Ezkieta

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
U
2,94
B ✓
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,71
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.