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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Ath Bilbao

T S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Alaves

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

1,3

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Alaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	5	3	1	1	+6	10
2	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Levante	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Osasuna	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Alaves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Betis	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Celta	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Barcelona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.