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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Celta

T U U S U

0–3

Full-time

Barcelona

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

This season — La Liga · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,7

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Betis	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Cadiz	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Celta	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
12	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Elche	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.