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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Celta

S U T U T

1–1

Full-time

Osasuna

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 23%

17%

28%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

39%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 18. · Osasuna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	12	4	3	+26	40
2	Real Madrid	19	11	7	1	+24	40
3	Ath Madrid	19	9	8	2	+10	35
4	Sevilla	19	10	5	4	+6	35
5	Sociedad	19	9	4	6	+8	31
6	Valencia	19	8	7	4	+4	31
7	Getafe	19	8	6	5	+6	30
8	Ath Bilbao	19	7	8	4	+7	29
9	Villarreal	19	8	4	7	+7	28
10	Granada	19	8	3	8	+0	27
11	Levante	19	8	2	9	-3	26
12	Betis	19	6	6	7	-6	24
13	Osasuna	18	5	8	5	+1	23
14	Valladolid	19	4	9	6	-6	21
15	Alaves	19	5	5	9	-9	20
16	Eibar	19	5	4	10	-11	19
17	Mallorca	19	4	3	12	-15	15
18	Celta	18	3	5	10	-13	14
19	Leganes	19	3	5	11	-14	14
20	Espanol	19	2	5	12	-22	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+14	21
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Valencia	10	5	5	0	+7	20
6	Granada	10	6	1	3	+6	19
7	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Levante	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	Betis	10	5	2	3	+3	17
10	Villarreal	9	4	4	1	+8	16
11	Alaves	10	4	4	2	+6	16
12	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
13	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+7	14
14	Mallorca	10	4	2	4	+0	14
15	Osasuna	9	3	4	2	+3	13
16	Valladolid	9	2	6	1	+4	12
17	Eibar	9	4	0	5	-4	12
18	Leganes	10	3	1	6	-4	10
19	Celta	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Espanol	10	0	3	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	10	6	2	2	+3	20
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Barcelona	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Ath Madrid	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Villarreal	10	4	0	6	-1	12
7	Getafe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
8	Valencia	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Osasuna	9	2	4	3	-2	10
10	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-3	9
11	Levante	10	3	0	7	-8	9
12	Valladolid	10	2	3	5	-10	9
13	Granada	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Espanol	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Betis	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Celta	9	1	2	6	-9	5
18	Leganes	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Alaves	9	1	1	7	-15	4
20	Mallorca	9	0	1	8	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.