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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Valladolid
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Celta
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
26 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 17. · Celta 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Betis 3 2 0 1 +2 6
2 Granada 3 2 0 1 -2 6
3 Sociedad 3 1 2 0 +3 5
4 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Huesca 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Alaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Celta
25′
🟨 Emre Mor
41′
🟨 Fran Beltran
44′
Iago Aspas 0–1
Denis Suárez
Half-time 0–1
Maranhão 🔁
↦ Raúl García
58′
Pablo Hervías 🔁
↦ F. Orellana
59′
60′
🔁 Miguel Baeza
↦ Denis Suárez
60′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ E. Mor
Sergi Guardiola 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
1–1 Sergi Guardiola
66′
72′
🔁 Santi Mina
↦ Nolito
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ Toni Suárez
73′
Bruno González 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ R. Tapia
81′
🔁 N. Araújo
↦ Fran Beltrán
Javi Sánchez 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
13 Roberto Jiménez G
22 Nacho Martínez D
6 Bruno D
3 Raúl García M
5 Javier Sánchez D
2 Luis Pérez D
12 F. Orellana M
20 Fede M
19 Toni Suárez F
8 Kike Pérez M
7 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (9)
16 Maranhão
11 Pablo Hervías
10 Óscar Plano
30 Miguel Rubio
26 Samu Pérez
29 Oriol Rey
23 Waldo Rubio
27 Kuki
21 Míchel

Coach: Sergio

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Iván Villar G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
15 L. Olaza D
18 J. Aidoo D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
11 E. Mor M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
Bench (12)
27 Miguel Baeza
23 Brais Méndez
22 Santi Mina
5 O. Yokuşlu
4 N. Araújo
35 Raúl Blanco
26 Iago Domínguez
32 Miguel Rodríguez
29 José Fontán
20 Kevin Vázquez
7 Vadillo
31 Gabri Veiga

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U ✓
2,89
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,78
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.