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La Liga
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega
Espanol
T T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Celta
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 17%
14%
19%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
41%
38%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
51%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 20. · Celta 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 37 26 8 3 +45 86
2 Barcelona 38 25 7 6 +48 82
3 Ath Madrid 37 18 15 4 +24 69
4 Sevilla 37 18 13 6 +19 67
5 Villarreal 38 18 6 14 +14 60
6 Sociedad 37 16 7 14 +8 55
7 Getafe 37 14 12 11 +7 54
8 Granada 37 15 8 14 +3 53
9 Valencia 37 14 11 12 -6 53
10 Ath Bilbao 37 13 12 12 +7 51
11 Osasuna 37 13 12 12 -8 51
12 Levante 37 13 7 17 -7 46
13 Valladolid 38 9 15 14 -11 42
14 Eibar 38 11 9 18 -17 42
15 Betis 38 10 11 17 -12 41
16 Alaves 38 10 9 19 -25 39
17 Celta 37 7 15 15 -12 36
18 Leganes 37 8 11 18 -21 35
19 Mallorca 37 9 5 23 -25 32
20 Espanol 37 5 9 23 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Celta
26′
🟨 F. Bradaric
Half-time 0–0
O. Melendo 🔁
↦ M. Vargas
63′
65′
🟨 L. Olaza
Wu Lei 🔁
↦ V. Campuzano
72′
78′
🔁 F. Bradaric
↦ O. Yokuslu
M. Roca 🔁
↦ V. Sanchez
80′
Naldo 🔁
81′
86′
🔁 B. Mendez
↦ G. Fernandez
88′
🔁 F. Beltran
↦ P. Cheikh
88′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ J. Gonzalez
D. Vila 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 J. Gonzalez
A. Embarba 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-2-3-1
25 Oier Olazábal G
2 Pipa D
15 David López D
18 Leandro Cabrera D
17 Dídac Vila D
26 Pol Lozano M
21 Marc Roca M
14 Óscar Melendo M
23 Adrián Embarba M
33 Nicolás Melamed M
7 Wu Lei F
Bench (12)
1 Andrés Prieto
16 Javi López
3 Adrià Pedrosa
5 Naldo
39 Roman Tugarinov
29 Mohamed Ezzarfani
8 Ander Iturraspe
40 Ferrán Jutglà
4 Víctor Sánchez
22 Matías Vargas
38 Daniel Villahermosa
31 Víctor Campuzano

Coach: Abelardo

Celta

4-1-4-1
25 Iván Villar G
2 Hugo Mallo D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
21 Jeison Murillo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
14 Filip Bradarić M
10 Iago Aspas M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltran M
11 Pione Sisto M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (12)
40 Dragan Rosić
35 Iago Domínguez
4 Néstor Araujo
16 Jorge Sáenz
20 Kevin Vazquez
31 Jose Fontán
5 Okay Yokuşlu
28 Sergio Bermejo Lillo
24 Pape Cheikh
19 Gabriel Fernández
7 Juan Hernández García
29 Jacobo

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,60
U ✓
3,74
B
1,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrian Cordero Vega · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.