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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Betis
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
39%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
39%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 7. · Real Madrid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 13 4 2 +33 43
2 Ath Madrid 19 10 8 1 +14 38
3 Sevilla 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Alaves 19 9 5 5 +3 32
5 Real Madrid 18 9 3 6 +3 30
6 Getafe 19 7 7 5 +5 28
7 Betis 18 7 5 6 +0 26
8 Girona 19 5 9 5 -2 24
9 Espanol 18 7 3 8 -5 24
10 Valencia 19 4 11 4 +0 23
11 Levante 19 6 5 8 -5 23
12 Sociedad 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 Leganes 19 5 7 7 -4 22
14 Valladolid 19 5 7 7 -4 22
15 Ath Bilbao 19 4 10 5 -5 22
16 Eibar 19 5 7 7 -7 22
17 Celta 19 5 6 8 -1 21
18 Vallecano 19 5 4 10 -12 19
19 Villarreal 19 3 8 8 -5 17
20 Huesca 19 2 5 12 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Real Madrid
Andrés Guardado 🟨
4′
13′
L. Modrić 0–1
35′
🟨 Luka Modrić
42′
🟨 Sergio Ramos
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Cristo González
↦ K. Benzema
62′
🟨 Federico Valverde
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ Francis Guerrero
67′
1–1 Canales
G. Lo Celso
67′
74′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ Reguilón
82′
🔁 Brahim Díaz
↦ F. Valverde
R. Boudebouz 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
85′
William Carvalho 🟨
86′
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
88′
88′
Dani Ceballos 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-3-3
13 Pau López G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
2 Francis Guerrero M
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
11 Cristian Tello
10 R. Boudebouz
16 Loren Morón
1 Joel Robles
3 Javi García
4 Z. Feddal
7 Sergio León

Coach: Quique Setién

Real Madrid

3-4-2-1
1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
23 Reguilón D
10 L. Modrić M
14 Casemiro M
15 F. Valverde M
9 K. Benzema F
28 Vinícius Júnior M
Bench (7)
27 Cristo González
24 Dani Ceballos
21 Brahim Díaz
12 Marcelo
13 Kiko Casilla
19 Álvaro Odriozola
22 Isco

Coach: S. Solari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.