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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Betis
S T T S S
3–5
Full-time
Real Madrid
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,5
4,8
Scored
2,2
3,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — La Liga · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 49%
43%
55%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
61%
73%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
55%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 9. · Real Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 24 19 5 0 +51 62
2 Ath Madrid 24 16 7 1 +27 55
3 Valencia 24 14 4 6 +19 46
4 Real Madrid 22 12 6 4 +27 42
5 Sevilla 24 12 3 9 -4 39
6 Villarreal 24 11 5 8 +6 38
7 Eibar 24 10 5 9 -4 35
8 Girona 24 9 7 8 +4 34
9 Betis 23 10 3 10 -7 33
10 Celta 23 9 5 9 +7 32
11 Getafe 23 7 9 7 +5 30
12 Sociedad 24 8 5 11 +1 29
13 Leganes 23 8 5 10 -5 29
14 Ath Bilbao 24 6 10 8 -3 28
15 Alaves 24 9 1 14 -11 28
16 Espanol 24 6 9 9 -10 27
17 Levante 24 3 11 10 -17 20
18 Las Palmas 24 5 3 16 -34 18
19 La Coruna 24 4 5 15 -29 17
20 Malaga 24 3 4 17 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Real Madrid
5′
🟨 Daniel Carvajal
11′
Marco Asensio 0–1
30′
🔁 T. Hernández
↦ Marcelo
1–1 A. Mandi
Joaquín
33′
1–2 Nacho
own goal
37′
Antonio Barragán 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🟨 Mateo Kovačić
Junior Firpo 🟨
49′
50′
Sergio Ramos 1–3
Lucas Vázquez
55′
🟨 Sergio Ramos
57′
🟨 Gareth Bale
59′
Marco Asensio 1–4
Daniel Carvajal
Loren Moron 🟨
61′
65′
Cristiano Ronaldo 1–5
Casemiro
73′
🔁 Isco
↦ G. Bale
Javi García 🔁
↦ Jordi Amat
75′
81′
🟨 Casemiro
Sergio León 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
81′
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
81′
2–5 Sergio León
J. Firpo
85′
89′
🔁 K. Benzema
↦ Cristiano Ronaldo
92′
K. Benzema 2–6
Lucas Vázquez
Full-time 2–6

Line-ups

Betis

5-4-1
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jordi Amat D
15 Bartra D
28 J. Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
10 R. Boudebouz M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
3 Javi García
7 Sergio León
20 Cristian Tello
8 Víctor Camarasa
14 R. Durmisi
27 Francis Guerrero
31 Pedro López

Coach: Quique Setién

Real Madrid

4-4-2
1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
14 Casemiro M
23 M. Kovačić M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
20 Marco Asensio M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
11 G. Bale F
Bench (7)
15 T. Hernández
22 Isco
9 K. Benzema
5 R. Varane
10 L. Modrić
13 Kiko Casilla
24 Dani Ceballos

Coach: Z. Zidane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.